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Macro Research

U.S. Bond Stress Scorecard

See the pressure beneath the market.

U.S. Bond Stress Scorecard concept illustrationIllustration of the project; charts are not current market readings.
FoundationTreasury signals
FocusFiscal risk
ApproachSource transparency
Why it exists

A transparent read on pressure inside the Treasury and fiscal system.

The Bond Stress Scorecard tracks market and fiscal indicators such as yields, curve behavior, auctions, dealer positioning, liquidity, and structural fiscal pressure. It is designed to show what changed, why it matters, and where overlapping signals should not be double-counted.

Market stressTracks rates, curves, auction dynamics, liquidity, dealer positioning, and other Treasury-market signals.
Fiscal structureSeparates longer-term fiscal pressure from short-term bond-market stress.
Transparent scoringEach indicator can be opened to see its value, threshold, source, and rationale, with safeguards against double-counting overlapping signals.